Global average temperatures have not risen significantly for fifteen years.
JD: Of course, this is but an instant in real time. But think of what the believers would be saying if global temperatures had been rising for fifteen years instead.
With a doubling of CO2 about 70 years from now the likely change in temperature is 1.00 to 2.5 degree Centigrade.
That’s a temperature rise that is not perceptible for the average person. In addition to the beneficent effects of warmth, plants grow faster and need less water when CO2 concentration are higher. (This means more weeds – of all kinds – and more wheat. JD)
The above is drawn from an advance copy of the forthcoming United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, according to a Wall Street Journal piece of 9/14/20 13 and 9/15 /2013 (“A Reprieve from Climate Doom.”) But what does the WSJ know?
Can you post pictures on your blog? If you go to
http://www.slate.com/blogs/bad_astronomy/2013/09/19/climate_politics_congressman_parrots_climate_change_denial_errors.html
You’ll see a graph plotting temperature anomalies from 1880 to 2013 that would be useful for your readers. If you cannot [I dont have a wordpress blog so I have no idea] the link is there for them to follow.
Terry: I don’t know how to post it. I believe that my readers respond to clearly worded explanations.
I also think that religious zealots commonly use graphs to befuddle and to make ordinary people more likely to submit intellectually.
I think my specific contribution, if any, through this blog is to explain with words topics that many people think too complicated for them.
I will give you a spectacular example soon of graph abuse, if the good weather stops.
When I was a teacher, I discovered that fewer than about 10% of my students understood the simplest graphs. That was in advanced undergraduate classes.
Lol. So much for ‘a picture is worth 1000 words’. There’s plenty of bad weather in Toronto; I’d be happy to send it your way if I could arrange such a thing.
I am sure there is a federal program somewhere that can send weather from one country to another. Why our federal government does much more difficult things daily.
Well as long as it’s the US federal government paying for it. Canada squanders its money on things like universal health coverage with better health outcomes. President Obama could probably pay for it with a %1 reduction in electronic surveillance at the NSA.
What are we to think of the rumors that prominent Canadian politicians sometimes come to the US for treatment or surgery?
PS I have written on this blog several times about the fact that Americans spend more money and have shorter life expectancies than others in developed countries.
Overall I’d say the US has the best healthcare money can buy.
I’ve found Jacques’ soulmates.
“The group, Citizens for Objective Public Education, had criticized the standards developed by Kansas, 25 other states and the National Research Council for treating both evolution and CLIMATE CHANGE as key scientific concepts to be taught from kindergarten through 12th grade.” [emphasis mine]. So what’s their beef? Science is a religion. Where have we heard that before? Yup, right here. Of course one question is still open: which religion does Jacques hate most, Science or Islam? Gonna be a close call, he may have to contact his compadres in Kansas.
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2013/09/27/1241946/-Kansas-fundie-group-Science-is-a-religion-so-evolution-shouldn-t-be-taught
Jacques, I just read a report summary that bears on average world temperatures. I would appreciate your take on this from NOAA:
HOME > NEWS > NCDC RELEASES NOV 2013 GLOBAL CLIMATE REPORT
NCDC Releases Nov 2013 Global Climate Report
November 2013 Global Land and Ocean Temperature Anomalies Map
According to NOAA scientists, the globally averaged temperature over land and ocean surfaces for November 2013 was the highest for November since record keeping began in 1880. It also marked the 37th consecutive November and 345th consecutive month (more than 28 years) with a global temperature above the 20th century average. The last below-average November global temperature was November 1976 and the last below-average global temperature for any month was February 1985.
Most areas of the world experienced warmer-than-average monthly temperatures, including most of Eurasia, Africa, and South America, plus parts of the North Atlantic Ocean, the southwest Pacific Ocean, and the Indian Ocean. Much of southern Russia, northwest Kazakhstan, south India, southern Madagascar, parts of the central and south Indian Ocean, and sections of the Pacific Ocean were record warm. Meanwhile, northern Australia, parts of North America, southwest Greenland, and parts of the Southern Ocean near South America were cooler than average. No regions of the globe were record cold.
This monthly summary from NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center is part of the suite of climate services NOAA provides to government, the business sector, academia, and the public to support informed decision making.
I am torn, Erik: On the one hand your savvy help is almost indispensable, on the other hand, I have to tell the truth. The obligation to tell the truth wins in the end!
My take is that this is all cherry picking. I will be writing soon on the last UN report. In the meantime here is the center of my way of thinking about such things; If I throw one thousand balls in the air and they all come down and I throw yet another one up and it does not come back (and it’s not on a roof somewhere),, the theory of gravity is_________
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